Dogecoin's Bull Run Hangs in the Balance: Analyst Issues Urgent Warning
Crypto analyst VisionPulsed has delivered a stark warning for Dogecoin enthusiasts: the window for a significant, cycle-defining advance is rapidly closing, narrowed to mere weeks. A failure to pivot higher this November could spell the end of Dogecoin's current bullish setup, shifting the market conversation towards a potential downside correction in 2026.
Bitcoin's Influence and Market Maturity
VisionPulsed's analysis anchors Dogecoin's fate to the broader market, particularly Bitcoin's weekly moving average, which he identifies as the critical near-term trend arbiter. For Dogecoin to see a rally, Bitcoin must reclaim and maintain a price range of $103,000 to $104,000 by the end of this week. The analyst notes that the "top-10 dominance" basket, excluding stablecoins, has already "fully retraced the alt season from 2021." While hitting the upper band of a multi-year channel doesn't necessarily signal a peak, it underscores the maturity of the current advance. This suggests that Dogecoin is operating within a market that has already re-tested significant historical boundaries.
The Urgent November Deadline
Dogecoin's notoriously high-beta behavior means its price movements, both rallies and retracements, tend to compress into shorter timelines compared to Bitcoin. This makes the current period particularly crucial. The analyst emphasizes that all eyes remain on Bitcoin's $103,000 threshold and a cluster of corroborating signals. Unlike a brief dip in March where Bitcoin recovered without a formal sell trigger, a confirmed close below the weekly moving average now would decisively eliminate Dogecoin's narrow window for an impulse. Momentum, despite the monthly MACD not yet crossing down, is described as "so bearish that it's screaming the end of the market cycle is near," leaving little room for a sustained rally. If Bitcoin fails to print a directional turn in November and instead closes below roughly $102,000, Dogecoin's rally prospects dim significantly, with a potential target reverting to the "five to six cents" range, and even a risk of breaking below that. The time for Dogecoin to make its move, the analyst concludes, is unequivocally now.
