Summary: Bitcoin Bulls Rely on STH Realized Price Support Cluster: Loss Could Trigger $100K Retest

Published: 14 days and 4 hours ago
Based on article from NewsBTC

Bitcoin's market trajectory hangs precariously as the digital asset teeters on a crucial support threshold, sparking investor anxiety across the cryptocurrency landscape. A significant breach of this key level could pave the way for a retest of the psychological $100,000 mark, potentially signaling a deeper market correction.

Bitcoin's Defining Moment: The $106K-$107K Support Zone

Currently, Bitcoin is grappling with intense selling pressure, hovering near the critical $103,000 level amidst a broad crypto market downturn. According to renowned analyst Axel Adler, the primary support zone for Bitcoin lies between $106,000 and $107,000. This range is not arbitrary; it represents a confluence of on-chain and technical indicators, including the Short-Term Holder (STH) 1M-3M Realized Price and the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA 200D). Historically, these levels have served as pivotal equilibrium points during previous market corrections.

The Looming Threat of a $100K Retest

The prevailing market sentiment reveals mounting weakness, driven by spreading panic and diminishing liquidity. With Bitcoin already trading below the $106,000 threshold, concerns are escalating that the market might be bracing for a more profound test of its fundamental support. Should Bitcoin fail to reclaim the $107,000 level in the coming days, a downward movement towards $100,000 becomes increasingly probable. This lower boundary is significant as it aligns with the yearly moving average (SMA 365D), a level that has historically acted as a robust springboard for major reversals. Analysts are meticulously observing daily candle closes to ascertain whether the current dip is merely a "liquidity sweep" – a brief descent to trigger stop losses before a rebound – or a definitive confirmation of a sustained bearish trend. While the macro structure remains bullish, as long as the $100,000 base endures, a confirmed breakdown below $106,000 could signal a prolonged consolidation phase, challenging investor conviction and extending the market's volatile trajectory. Conversely, a strong rebound from the $100,000 zone would reinforce the narrative of a healthy market reset within an ongoing bull cycle. The next few days are pivotal in determining Bitcoin's immediate future.

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