Summary: Bitcoin Has 52% Chance of Losing $100,000 This Month: Polymarket

Published: 14 days and 9 hours ago
Based on article from U.Today

October, often dubbed 'Uptober' by crypto enthusiasts, has taken an unexpected and decidedly bearish turn for Bitcoin. What began with initial optimism quickly dissolved, leaving the flagship cryptocurrency grappling with significant price corrections and intensifying market uncertainty.

Bitcoin's Unexpected Plunge and Bearish Outlook

Despite an early October high of $126,198 and analyst predictions eyeing $150,000, Bitcoin has dramatically reversed course. The cryptocurrency is now showing an 8.26% decline in monthly returns, with its price falling to levels not seen in months. This swift shift from bullish momentum to deep red territory has been accompanied by a significant increase in bearish sentiment across the market. Notably, the prediction platform Polymarket indicates a 52% probability that Bitcoin will fall below $100,000 this month, underscoring a growing belief among traders in an impending major correction.

Institutional Resilience Amidst Growing Risks

Even as individual traders exit the market, institutional players like Michael Saylor’s Strategy are demonstrating a cautious resilience. While continuing their aggressive Bitcoin accumulation, these firms have noticeably scaled back purchase volumes in response to the declining price trend. However, this institutional fortitude might not be enough to avert further market pressure. Analysts caution that a break below the critical $100,000 threshold could trigger a fresh wave of liquidations, exacerbating selling pressure in an already fragile market and potentially prolonging Bitcoin's challenging phase.

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