Summary: Looming $12B Hyperliquid unlock sparks debate: ‘Has the market priced in…?’

Published: 3 months and 9 days ago
Based on article from AMBCrypto

Hyperliquid (HYPE) finds itself at a critical juncture, facing a contentious debate over its future tokenomics. A substantial monthly token unlock schedule, set to commence in November, has sparked significant concern among whales and community members alike, leading to a bold proposal for a drastic supply reduction.

The Hyperliquid Unlock Dilemma

The primary catalyst for this discussion is the impending unlock of Hyperliquid tokens, projected to release a staggering $12 billion worth of HYPE into the market over the next 24 months. This imminent supply surge has fueled bearish sentiment, with major players like Arthur Hayes' Maelstrom Fund already offloading their holdings. The fund argues that current buyback programs are woefully inadequate, capable of absorbing only a fraction of the incoming supply overhang. This apprehension has manifested in recent market activity, with reports of large-scale whale withdrawals for potential sell-offs, contributing to a noticeable dip in HYPE's price.

A Bold Solution: The 45% Supply Cut Proposal

In response to these concerns, a radical proposal has emerged to significantly reduce Hyperliquid's total token supply by 45%. Crypto researchers Hasu of Flashbots and Jon Charbonneau advocate for the burning of 31 million HYPE tokens acquired through buybacks and the elimination of 421 million tokens currently earmarked for community growth. This move, which would remove approximately 450 million tokens from the one-billion-token supply cap, is presented as a "strictly positive optionality" designed to bolster HYPE's value and mitigate the bearish pressure from the unlocks. While some opponents voice concerns about the impact on community members, proponents argue that these 'community tokens' are not yet owed to anyone.

Whale Reactions and the Path Forward

The proposed supply cut and the looming unlocks have created a volatile environment for HYPE. Whale activity, including Maelstrom Fund's sell-off, has already impacted the token's price, compounded by the emergence of new competitors like Aster perpetual DEX. The ultimate trajectory of HYPE's price in the coming months will hinge critically on the Hyperliquid team's official response to this supply reduction proposal and the broader community's reaction. Despite current headwinds, some, like Arthur Hayes, remain optimistic about HYPE's long-term potential post-unlocks, suggesting a significant rally could still be possible by 2028.

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