Summary: Ethena price prediction: Why ENA could rally 25% despite a long-term downtrend

Published: 1 month ago
Based on article from AMBCrypto

Ethena’s Bullish Pivot: Analyzing ENA’s Recent Price Surge

Ethena (ENA) has kickstarted the week on a positive note, rebounding significantly from a local low of $0.078 to secure a 13% rally. While the broader higher-timeframe trend remains cautiously bearish, recent shifts in market structure and increased open interest suggest that a short-term recovery is well underway. This movement has successfully caught the attention of both retail traders and institutional "whales" looking for price volatility.

On-Chain Movements and Market Sentiment

The recent price action has been supported by a 7% expansion in Open Interest, indicating a surge in speculative activity and fresh capital entering the market. On-chain data highlights significant movement, including a 16-million ENA transfer to Binance, which typically signals potential selling pressure. However, this is being offset by a rise in average order sizes, suggesting that large-scale investors are beginning to show interest in ENA at these levels. Despite the historical downtrend, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) is reaching new local highs, confirming that buying pressure is currently outweighing the liquidations seen on centralized exchanges.

Technical Targets and Potential Pullbacks

From a technical perspective, ENA has successfully flipped the critical $0.085 resistance zone into a support level, marking a significant structural shift. Traders are now eyeing price targets at $0.098 and $0.118, with Fibonacci retracement levels suggesting a possible extension toward the $0.123 mark. While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows strong bullish momentum, a slight bearish divergence hints at a potential brief dip back to the $0.085 support before the next leg up. This retracement could offer a strategic entry point for those looking to capitalize on the dense liquidation zones identified between $0.09 and $0.10.

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