Summary: Solana – Assessing if a fall to $49 is actually possible for SOL’s price

Published: 16 days ago
Based on article from AMBCrypto

Solana (SOL), once a beacon of the crypto market's potential, now finds itself navigating a turbulent downturn. Despite a broader market correction, SOL has experienced a significant slide, raising concerns among investors about its immediate future. However, amidst the challenging price action and investor retreat, a key fundamental milestone offers a potential glimmer of long-term promise.

Price Declines and Market Retreat

The past weeks have seen Solana's price plummet, falling over 20% since the start of February. This decline pushed SOL below crucial support levels, including $70, after breaching significant technical patterns. The current struggle at the $69 mark signals a potential further descent towards the $49-$53 range if this level fails to hold. Compounding these price woes, Solana-focused Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have witnessed substantial outflows, totaling over $5.68 million in the past week alone. This sustained investor exodus, marked by multiple instances of over $1 million in daily outflows, points to a broader loss of confidence in the short to medium term.

A Glimmer of Hope: RWA Growth

Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment and significant outflows, Solana's ecosystem recently achieved a notable milestone. On February 7, 2026, its Real World Assets (RWA) market capitalization surpassed $1 billion, according to Token Terminal. This achievement highlights a burgeoning area of growth in tokenized assets and suggests robust underlying fundamentals driving adoption. If this momentum can be sustained, it could bolster market confidence and spur further innovation, showcasing Solana's potential for long-term utility beyond speculative trading.

The Critical Juncture Ahead

The immediate future for Solana hangs in the balance. The market is currently grappling with whether it can absorb the mounting ETF outflows and stabilize, or if this marks the beginning of a more profound downturn. A significant recovery is contingent on Solana reclaiming key price levels between $118 and $145. Crucially, the absence of substantial institutional inflows—which are vital to reverse the current narrative—leaves Solana vulnerable to further capitulation. Without this institutional backing, the risks of a deeper price decline appear pronounced, making the coming weeks critical for Solana's trajectory.

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