Solana (SOL) is currently navigating a period of intense selling pressure, as a broader cryptocurrency market slump combines with a significant shift in trader and investor sentiment towards a decidedly bearish outlook. The popular altcoin has not only experienced a sharp price decline but has also breached critical support levels, signaling potential further downside amidst a surge in market participation.
Solana Breaches Critical Support Amidst Bearish Whale Activity
The recent market downturn has hit Solana particularly hard, evidenced by its failure to maintain the crucial $118 support level, a benchmark it had successfully defended since March 2024. This bearish turn is reinforced by significant on-chain activity, including a newly identified whale opening a substantial $6.15 million SOL short position after depositing 2 million USDC on the Hyperliquid DEX. Compounding this negative sentiment, U.S.-based Solana spot ETFs have recorded a $2.22 million outflow, indicating a clear withdrawal of capital by institutional investors. These developments collectively underscore a strong market conviction that Solana's price may continue its downward trajectory.
Technical Indicators and Derivatives Market Signal Further Decline
At press time, SOL has plunged to around $115, marking a 6.65% drop in 24 hours. Despite the price dip, trading volume surged by 105% to $7.60 billion, highlighting intense market activity as traders react to the evolving landscape. Technical analysis paints a grim picture: if Solana fails to reclaim the $118 level, a further 30% decline to the $78 mark could be on the horizon. Supporting this outlook, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicates short-term bearishness, while a rising Average Directional Index (ADX) at 33 confirms a strong, directional bearish trend. In the derivatives market, traders are heavily favoring short positions, with $55.15 million in short-leveraged positions compared to $241 million in longs, reflecting heightened tension and anticipation of sharp price movements.