Summary: Coinbase Premium Index Hints Bitcoin Not Out of Danger Zone Yet

Published: 1 month and 21 days ago
Based on article from U.Today

Bitcoin's recent price movements present a complex picture of cautious optimism, as the leading cryptocurrency navigates easing selling pressures and a gradual return of buying interest amid divided expert opinions. Despite modest gains, several key indicators suggest the digital asset is at a pivotal point, with institutional demand offering a glimmer of hope against a backdrop of lingering market uncertainty.

Decoding Bitcoin's Market Signals

The current market sentiment for Bitcoin (BTC) is characterized by a tentative rebound, even as it struggles to fully exit bearish territory. While Bitcoin has shown over 1.60% gains and is trading around $92,970, the Coinbase Premium Index, a crucial gauge of U.S. demand, remains negative at -0.196%. This indicates weaker U.S. buying interest and a predominant selling pressure. However, this figure marks a significant improvement from recent deeper negative values, suggesting an easing of intense selling and a slow, cautious return of buying activity. For Bitcoin to achieve true stabilization, a more aggressive influx of buying from U.S. investors will be essential, positioning the current market signal as cautiously neutral to mildly bullish.

Institutional Inflows and Conflicting Outlooks

Supporting Bitcoin's recent resilience are robust figures from U.S. spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which collectively registered over $5 billion in trading volume within the last 24 hours. Notably, BlackRock’s IBIT alone recorded $448 million in inflows, highlighting sustained institutional demand. The breach of the $90,000 threshold and a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 58.72 further reinforce neutral to bullish signals, hinting at potential for continued upward momentum. Yet, the future trajectory of Bitcoin remains a contentious topic among experts. While Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, projects ongoing Bitcoin accumulation by his firm into 2026, veteran trader Peter Schiff dismisses the recent rally as a "fluke," urging investors to prioritize precious metals. These contrasting views underscore the ongoing debate surrounding Bitcoin's long-term viability and immediate prospects.

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