Summary: ‘On the bullish side of liquidity cycle’ – What does that mean for Bitcoin?

Published: 1 month and 26 days ago
Based on article from AMBCrypto

The "crypto winter" narrative appears to be drawing to a close, as a significant structural shift in global dollar liquidity signals a potential new era for digital assets. Influential market analysts are pointing towards a re-invigorated financial landscape, moving beyond recent market contractions and setting the stage for a renewed bullish sentiment in the crypto space.

Reversal in Global Liquidity Signals New Horizons

A critical observation from BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes indicates that the persistent contraction of global dollar liquidity, a primary headwind for risk assets throughout the previous period, officially bottomed out in November. This fundamental turnaround, now seeing liquidity inch higher, is viewed as a "green light" for the "money printer" narrative, fostering a more fertile environment for crypto markets. Further bolstering this outlook is a projected $8.165 billion injection from the Federal Reserve, anticipated to significantly contribute to the bullish side of the liquidity cycle, as highlighted by macro commentators.

Institutional Inflows Point to Strategic Re-entry

Following a challenging period marked by substantial outflows, U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have dramatically reversed course, snapping a losing streak with a significant $355 million influx in a single session. This rapid turnaround, led by major players like BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and Ark 21Shares, effectively erased a substantial portion of the previous week's exits and starkly contrasts with December's heavy selling, which many analysts viewed as a capitulation point. This institutional pivot, also reflected in recent inflows into Spot Ether ETFs, signals early strategic positioning and a renewed interest within the digital asset space.

Bitcoin's Dormant Potential Amidst Rising Tides

Despite these positive institutional shifts and the expansion of global money supply reaching record highs in major economies, the immediate price action for Bitcoin remains in a "wait-and-see" mode. BTC has yet to fully react, trading nearly 30% below its all-time high, indicating that while the necessary "fuel" is entering the system, it has not yet ignited a speculative surge. Analysts suggest this period places Bitcoin in a "deep value" zone, historically associated with long-term bottoms rather than exhaustion, suggesting significant untapped potential as cautious traders await clearer signals post-year-end market adjustments.

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