Summary: Can Ethereum Really Hit $20,000 This Cycle? Analyst Maps The Path

Published: 19 days and 12 hours ago
Based on article from NewsBTC

Decoding Ethereum's Next Move: Analyst Predicts ETH to Soar to $20,000 This Cycle A prominent crypto analyst, known as Astronumer (@astronomer_zero), has ignited excitement within the digital asset community by asserting that his long-held "bottom thesis" for the Ethereum (ETH) to Bitcoin (BTC) trading pair has successfully unfolded. He has now unveiled explicit cycle targets, offering a roadmap for Ethereum's potential ascent, with a daring projection of ETH reaching or surpassing $20,000.

Ethereum's Ambitious Trajectory

Astronumer’s analysis centers on the ETH/BTC pair, underscoring his belief that Ethereum's performance typically follows Bitcoin's lead, with major liquidity flowing from BTC. He first highlighted a critical "zone" on the ETH/BTC chart months ago, a call he admits initially seemed "delusional" due to its extremely long-term nature. However, recent market movements have aligned with his proprietary sentiment work, which indicated extreme bearishness towards Ethereum, further confirming his bottom thesis. This sentiment, he notes, ranged from "ETH is a bad investment" to "SOL is the new ETH," all of which paradoxically signaled a market low according to his model.

Key Price Targets on the Horizon

The analyst has laid out three distinct ETH/BTC targets for the remainder of this cycle. The first is set at 0.058 BTC per ETH, a level he observed to be 35% above the current price at the time of his post, translating to approximately $6,500 for Ethereum if Bitcoin's price remains stable. The second target is a more ambitious 0.091 BTC, roughly double the current level, which would place ETH above $10,000. His ultimate and highest target is 0.16 BTC, which, while aspirational and not guaranteed, could propel Ethereum to $20,000 or even higher. It is crucial to understand that these USD valuations are contingent on Bitcoin's performance, as the analysis focuses on the relative strength of ETH against BTC.

Beyond Seasonal Trends: A Cycle-Driven Market

Astronumer firmly dismisses traditional calendar-based trading heuristics like "Red September" or "sell in May." He argues that "seasons don’t work in markets, only cycles do," emphasizing that true market movements are driven by underlying cycles rather than arbitrary timeframes. He also points to market psychology, suggesting that while many vocal participants claim to be bullish on ETH, actual order flow indicates that most have either not bought at low prices or are heavily leveraged at higher entry points. This psychological setup, in his view, continues to favor an upside trajectory towards his defined ETH/BTC targets, provided the fundamental dynamic of Bitcoin leading and Ethereum following in liquidity rotation holds.

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