Summary: NIGHT rallies 24% as traders rush in ahead of AirDrop, but risks remain

Published: 2 days and 7 hours ago
Based on article from AMBCrypto

NIGHT, a privacy asset, has recently captivated the market with a remarkable resurgence, staging a 24% bullish rebound that stands in stark contrast to the broader privacy token sector's decline. This unexpected surge, accompanied by a colossal $5.03 billion in trading volume, signals strong bullish control and has propelled NIGHT into the spotlight as one of the market's top gainers.

NIGHT's Explosive Rally and Key Catalysts

The catalyst behind NIGHT's impressive performance appears to be a dual combination of renewed ecosystem development and, most notably, its token airdrop. This airdrop, which commenced on December 10th and is set to distribute approximately 4.5 billion NIGHT, has successfully drawn significant investor interest, including from high-capital participants in the U.S. and globally. The sheer momentum is underscored by a surging volume-to-market capitalization ratio of 372%, typically indicative of a high-momentum rally with potential for further short-term extension, heavily supported by substantial trading on major exchanges like Bybit and Binance.

Nuances of Capital Inflow and Market Dynamics

Despite the robust price action, a closer look at the capital inflow reveals a complex picture. While circulating capital has increased by over 56%, translating to more than $50 million in fresh funds, its quality is questionable. Perpetual market data, specifically negative Funding Rates and Open Interest–Weighted Funding Rates, suggest that short traders are primarily driving much of this capital. However, these short positions have struggled against the prevailing upward momentum, incurring notable losses of $1.61 million compared to long traders' $418,000, effectively creating a short squeeze where increasing prices force short sellers to buy back, further fueling the rally.

Red Flags: Investor Sentiment and Whale Concentration

Beneath the surface of this bullish run lie significant concerns regarding long-term sustainability and market structure. Despite rising prices, investor exits are evident, with the number of token holders declining from 6,800 to 6,200, signaling a potential lack of conviction and ongoing distribution. More critically, NIGHT's tokenomics reveal an alarming concentration: a staggering 94.13% of the circulating supply is held by just 10 wallets, leaving only 5.87% for retail investors. This extreme whale concentration poses a substantial risk, raising questions about price stability and the asset's future if these large holders decide to unload their positions.

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