Summary: Четырехлетний цикл биткоина работает, но теперь им движут политика и ликвидность — аналитик

Published: 10 days and 5 hours ago
Based on article from CoinTelegraph

The cryptocurrency landscape continues its rapid evolution, marking a significant transition from its speculative origins towards mainstream financial integration and increased regulatory scrutiny. Recent developments highlight a deepening connection between digital assets and traditional finance, driven by institutional interest, policy shifts, and a growing recognition of crypto's practical applications globally.

Institutional Integration and Regulatory Milestones

The crypto market is increasingly defined by the growing presence of institutional players, signaling a profound shift towards mainstream adoption. Reports indicate that nearly 30% of Bitcoin's total supply is now concentrated in the hands of large institutions, countries, and custodial services. This institutional embrace is further solidified by major advancements in regulatory acceptance, with prominent crypto entities such as Paxos, Fidelity, Ripple, BitGo, and Circle securing conditional banking licenses in the US. These approvals pave the way for these firms to operate as national trust banks, bridging the gap between the decentralized world and traditional financial frameworks. Even established TradFi giants are adapting, as evidenced by Interactive Brokers allowing account funding via stablecoins and the DTCC preparing to offer security tokenization services by 2026, signaling a broader adoption of blockchain technology within conventional markets.

Evolving Market Forces and Shifting Sentiments

Beyond institutional inroads, the underlying dynamics of the crypto market are also transforming. Experts suggest that Bitcoin's four-year cycle is now significantly influenced by political factors and global liquidity, indicating a departure from purely technical analysis. Investor sentiment is likewise maturing, with a noticeable shift from highly speculative assets like meme coins towards more regulated, leverage-backed traditional ETFs. This evolution is mirrored by ongoing debates from traditional finance leaders, such as a Vanguard executive criticizing Bitcoin as a "speculative digital souvenir," while the crypto community actively pushes back against attempts to equate DeFi platforms with regulated brokers. Despite these differing viewpoints, the real-world utility of crypto continues to grow, as seen with stablecoins gaining significant traction in economically unstable regions like Venezuela, showcasing their practical application in daily transactions and wealth preservation.

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