Summary: Bitcoin Whale Exchange Transfers Spike As Capital Rotation Begins — Latest Altseason Signal?

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Based on article from NewsBTC

The crypto market is buzzing with activity, and recent on-chain data hints at a significant shift that could reshape investment strategies. While Bitcoin recently touched an impressive new all-time high, the focus is now turning to "whales" and their movements, signaling the potential start of an exciting new phase. Here’s a snapshot of the latest developments:

  • Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $123,091 on July 14th before experiencing a slight price retracement.
  • This modest decline in Bitcoin's price has surprisingly coincided with widespread gains across the altcoin market.
  • Blockchain analytics firm Glassnode reports a notable surge: the 7-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of Bitcoin transfers from whale wallets to exchanges is approaching 12,000 BTC.
  • This marks one of the highest weekly volumes recorded in 2025, mirroring levels last seen in early November 2024, which historically preceded a major crypto bull run.
  • Large Bitcoin transfers to exchanges typically suggest whales are preparing to liquidate positions for profit-taking or, crucially, to rotate capital into other assets.
  • The latter scenario, capital rotation into altcoins, appears increasingly likely given their recent strong performance.
  • Despite Bitcoin's minor dip, altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, and Solana have seen impressive price surges of 19.98%, 25.98%, and 8.86% respectively over the past week.
  • Historically, an "altseason" is characterized by altcoins outperforming Bitcoin, leading to a decrease in Bitcoin's market dominance as investors reallocate profits.
  • However, the current Altcoin Index stands at 36/100, indicating that while altcoins are gaining momentum, the market has not yet fully transitioned into a confirmed altseason.
  • An index value below 50 suggests Bitcoin still maintains a stronger performance than most altcoins over a 90-day period.
  • Investors should keenly watch for the Altcoin Index to cross the 75 threshold, as this would be a strong signal confirming the arrival of a full-fledged altseason.
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