Amidst a tense December market, high-profile crypto trader Ansem has issued a striking prediction: Bitcoin's price path could curve straight back to $80,000 before the year 2025 concludes. This bold forecast arrives as the market grapples with recent momentum loss and growing uncertainty, making Ansem's direct call a significant talking point for investors.
Ansem's Bold Bitcoin Outlook
Ansem's analysis, anchored on a clean one-hour chart, posits that a potential dip to $80,000 would serve as a "natural checkpoint." This comes after Bitcoin recently faced rejection at the $93,000 level. The current market weakness suggests that if BTC fails to sustain its position above the $89,000 base, the $80,000 cluster represents the first area with substantial historical absorption for liquidity. From the perspective of Bitcoin bulls, such a retest would not necessarily invalidate the overarching trend. However, for bears, it would confirm that December's market activity is geared more towards clearing out stale positions rather than establishing fresh price highs.
Market Seasonality and Emerging Bear Debates
Further complicating the present landscape, Bitcoin's quarterly returns chart highlights a highly unpredictable Q4 performance. Notably, 2025 is currently sitting at a significant -22%, a stark reminder that seasonality offers no guaranteed cushion, and severe pullbacks are common when bull momentum begins to wane. Ansem's prediction also fuels the ongoing debate about whether a bear market has already commenced. A crucial parallel is drawn to Fall 2025 mirroring Fall 2021, where crypto assets began their downturn ahead of traditional equities. Despite this, the macro environment presents a contrast: 2021 was characterized by tightening monetary policies, while today's climate features easing conditions, cooling inflation, and slower policy pressure. This unique setup, however, could still lead to a "cold shower" outcome from December's FOMC meeting, with an $80,000 retest comfortably fitting within the expected volatility corridor for the month.
