Summary: Solana’s $219mln institutional loss sparks fear – Move to $170 depends on THIS

Published: 1 month and 3 days ago
Based on article from AMBCrypto

The cryptocurrency market recently witnessed a notable shift in Solana's landscape following a massive transfer by institutional holder Forward Industries. While this move initially cast a shadow, leading to market reactions, underlying fundamentals and robust whale activity suggest a resilient path forward for SOL. The interplay of institutional movements, large-scale investor behavior, and network health paints a complex yet potentially optimistic picture for Solana's near-term trajectory.

Institutional Shifts and Whale Accumulation

Forward Industries executed one of the largest Solana transfers of the quarter, moving 1.727 million SOL, valued at approximately $219.32 million, to a new wallet. This transfer occurred while the firm held a substantial 6.834 million SOL position at a 45% unrealized loss, translating to roughly $718 million underwater. Despite this significant loss, Forward Industries retained nearly 5 million SOL, hinting at a long-term bullish bias even as institutional sentiment around Solana became highly sensitive to such large flows. Interestingly, this institutional pullback was counterbalanced by aggressive accumulation from Solana whales, whose "Spot Average Order Size" accelerated, indicating sustained big-ticket buying and strong interest despite the broader market drawdown.

Network Resilience and Price Outlook

Beyond institutional and whale activity, Solana's underlying network health continues to strengthen its recovery prospects. Monthly Active Addresses surged to 45.8 million, marking a 21% increase over the past month. This robust growth in network usage provides a compelling counterpoint to any institutional selling pressure, reinforcing the platform's utility and adoption. From a technical perspective, Solana demonstrated resilience by bouncing strongly from a critical daily demand zone near $130, establishing short-term stability and containing downside pressure. However, the path ahead still faces resistance, with the immediate objective for traders lying near $170, a level that previously acted as breakdown structure. Overcoming this hurdle could shift momentum towards the $190–$210 band, where heavier supply currently resides.

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