Bitcoin's Bearish Shadow: Analyst Warns of 80% Entry with Full Confirmation Imminent

Bitcoin's recent price struggles have crypto analysts on high alert, with many suggesting the digital asset is deep into a bear market. Amidst this uncertainty, one prominent voice offers a definitive metric for what could confirm a full 100% bear market scenario, urging investors to approach the current climate with clear eyes. Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto recently shared a stark warning on X (formerly Twitter), assigning an 80% probability to Bitcoin already being in a bear market, versus only a 20% chance of a bull market. This assessment comes after Bitcoin failed to reclaim the $100,000 mark for over four months and experienced significant whale sell-offs, creating billions in selling pressure. The analyst points to a noticeable divergence from Bitcoin's historical four-year cycle patterns, which have traditionally driven market movements, noting a particular lack of a substantial altcoin rally. The critical confirmation for a 100% bear market, according to Titan, hinges on how the market closes by November 24th, suggesting that a similar performance to the current week would solidify the bearish trend. However, not all indicators echo this dire sentiment. Counter-arguments from platforms like Coinglass, which tracks 30 Bull Market Peak Indicators, suggest that Bitcoin's top is not yet in, as none of their benchmarks have been triggered. This creates a fascinating tension in market analysis. Further complicating the picture is the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which has plummeted to an "Extreme Fear" score of 10—its lowest since March 2025. Historically, periods of extreme fear often precede market reversals, implying that while sentiment is currently low, a bounce-back could be on the horizon if buyers respond to these depressed levels. Investors are advised to observe these conflicting signals with caution, focusing on objective market data rather than blind optimism.